Phillies at Mets
Last play · Francisco Lindor flies out to center fielder Johan Rojas.
Win probability
Mets0%
PHI 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 0 NYM
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm hit by pitch. Johan Rojas scores. Kyle Schwarber to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd. (inning 3) — -14% Phillies
9Alec Bohm hits a ground-rule double (16) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.4–0
9Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Kyle Schwarber scores. Nick Castellanos to 2nd.3–0
3Brandon Marsh walks. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Alec Bohm to 2nd.2–0
3Alec Bohm hit by pitch. Johan Rojas scores. Kyle Schwarber to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








