D-backs at Mets
Last play · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
AZ 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 4 – 8 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Mets favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Starling Marte triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo scores. J.D. Martinez scores. (inning 1) — +33% Mets
9Christian Walker homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.9–10
9Joc Pederson homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Kevin Newman scores. Corbin Carroll scores.8–10
6J.D. Martinez homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Nimmo scores.5–10
6Eugenio Suárez homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.5–8
4Mark Vientos singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. J.D. Martinez scores. Starling Marte to 3rd.4–8
4Starling Marte singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Pete Alonso scores. J.D. Martinez to 2nd.4–7
4Pete Alonso doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Tomás Nido scores.4–6
3Lourdes Gurriel Jr. grounds into a force out, third baseman Mark Vientos to second baseman Jose Iglesias. Ketel Marte scores. Christian Walker out at 2nd. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by second baseman Jose Iglesias.4–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
