D-backs at Mets
Last play · Jake McCarthy grounds out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
AZ 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 1 NYM
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 49.4% · hold -8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Mets favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.D. Martinez homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 8) — +29% Mets
8J.D. Martinez homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
7Francisco Lindor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Pavin Smith. Pete Alonso scores. Francisco Lindor to 2nd.2–2
3Francisco Lindor homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
3Ketel Marte doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Gabriel Moreno scores. Corbin Carroll scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
