Dodgers at Mets
Last play · DJ Stewart strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets0%
LAD 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 2 – 0 NYM
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-195 / +165
Mets favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Will Smith homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 1) — -12% Dodgers
6Miguel Vargas homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
2Miguel Rojas doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Andy Pages scores.2–0
1Will Smith homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
