Marlins at Mets
Last play · Tyrone Taylor grounds out, second baseman Otto Lopez to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Mets0%
MIA 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 2 NYM
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -155
Mets favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Gordon. J.D. Martinez scores. Starling Marte scores. (inning 2) — +25% Mets
9Nick Gordon out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Otto Lopez scores.4–2
5Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to third baseman Mark Vientos. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Bryan De La Cruz to 3rd.3–2
5Bryan De La Cruz doubles (12) on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo, deflected by center fielder Harrison Bader. Tim Anderson scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd.2–2
2Mark Vientos doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Gordon. J.D. Martinez scores. Starling Marte scores.1–2
2Tim Anderson singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Jesús Sánchez scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














