D-backs at Mets
Last play · Mark Vientos pops out to catcher Gabriel Moreno in foul territory.
Win probability
Mets0%
AZ 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 3 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Mets favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ketel Marte homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. Gabriel Moreno scores. (inning 9) — -71% D-backs
9Ketel Marte homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. Gabriel Moreno scores.5–4
3J.D. Martinez triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Brandon Nimmo scores.3–4
3Brandon Nimmo triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Luis Torrens scores. Pete Alonso scores.3–3
3Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Tyrone Taylor scores. Luis Torrens to 2nd.3–1
2Kevin Newman grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Pete Alonso. Eugenio Suárez scores.3–0
1Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
1Ketel Marte homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
