D-backs at Mets
Last play · J.D. Martinez flies out to center fielder Corbin Carroll.
Win probability
Mets0%
AZ 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 4 – 1 NYM
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Mets favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker hits a grand slam (12) to left field. Jake McCarthy scores. Kevin Newman scores. Randal Grichuk scores. (inning 3) — -40% D-backs
9Pete Alonso homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Jose Iglesias scores.10–5
9Jose Iglesias singles on a ground ball to third baseman Eugenio Suárez. Harrison Bader scores.10–3
9Tomás Nido grounds out, second baseman Blaze Alexander to pitcher Brandon Hughes. Mark Vientos scores. Harrison Bader to 3rd.10–2
8Corbin Carroll singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Blaze Alexander scores. Jake McCarthy scores.10–1
7Eugenio Suárez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Starling Marte. Corbin Carroll scores.8–1
7Randal Grichuk singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Kevin Newman scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd.7–1
6Jake McCarthy flies out to right fielder Starling Marte.6–1
6Blaze Alexander singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Gabriel Moreno scores.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
