Yankees at Mets
Last play · Jahmai Jones grounds out, shortstop Jose Iglesias to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
NYY 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 7 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Mets favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Alvarez homers (4) on a line drive to right center field. Brandon Nimmo scores. (inning 3) — +17% Mets
8Mark Vientos singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jahmai Jones. Pete Alonso scores. Luis Torrens to 2nd.2–12
7Harrison Bader homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.2–11
6Tyrone Taylor homers (3) on a line drive to left center field. Pete Alonso scores. Francisco Alvarez scores.2–10
6Aaron Judge homers (30) on a fly ball to left field. Juan Soto scores.2–7
5Harrison Bader doubles (14) on a fly ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Tyrone Taylor scores. Mark Vientos to 3rd.0–7
5Jeff McNeil out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Francisco Alvarez scores. Tyrone Taylor to 3rd.0–6
5Mark Vientos walks. Pete Alonso scores. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd. Tyrone Taylor to 2nd.0–5
5Francisco Alvarez doubles (8) on a fly ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Brandon Nimmo scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














