Last play · Donovan Solano grounds out sharply, second baseman Jeff McNeil to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
SD 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
SD 2 – 7 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-145 / +125
Mets favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Brandon Nimmo scores. J.D. Martinez scores. (inning 1) — +24% Mets
8Pete Alonso singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder David Peralta. Harrison Bader scores. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.6–11
8Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jeff McNeil scores. Harrison Bader to 3rd. Francisco Lindor to 2nd.6–9
8Luis Torrens homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.6–8
8Luis Campusano out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. David Peralta scores.6–7
8Ha-Seong Kim doubles (9) on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Donovan Solano scores. David Peralta to 3rd.5–7
8David Peralta grounds into a force out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to second baseman Jeff McNeil. Jake Cronenworth scores. Donovan Solano to 3rd. Jackson Merrill out at 2nd. David Peralta to 1st.4–7
8Jackson Merrill walks. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Donovan Solano to 2nd.3–7
5Jurickson Profar grounds out, first baseman Pete Alonso to pitcher Tylor Megill. Luis Campusano scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd.2–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
SD6–
NYM11