Yankees at Mets
Last play · DJ LeMahieu strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
NYY 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 6 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Mets favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 2) — +15% Mets
8Aaron Judge hits a grand slam (29) to center field. Trent Grisham scores. Austin Wells scores. Juan Soto scores.7–9
8Austin Wells singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Ben Rice scores. Trent Grisham to 2nd.3–9
7Aaron Judge doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Anthony Volpe scores.2–9
6Pete Alonso out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Aaron Judge. Brandon Nimmo scores.1–9
6J.D. Martinez doubles (13) on a fly ball to center fielder Aaron Judge. Harrison Bader scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd.1–8
6Brandon Nimmo reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Gleyber Torres. Jeff McNeil scores. Harrison Bader to 3rd.1–7
5Juan Soto homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.1–6
4Brandon Nimmo homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Jeff McNeil scores.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














