Astros at Mets
Last play · Mauricio Dubón strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
HOU 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 2 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Mets favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeff McNeil homers (4) on a line drive to right field. Francisco Alvarez scores. Mark Vientos scores. (inning 6) — +21% Mets
8Francisco Lindor doubles (24) on a fly ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Jeff McNeil scores.2–7
6Jeff McNeil homers (4) on a line drive to right field. Francisco Alvarez scores. Mark Vientos scores.2–6
6Pete Alonso homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
4Tyrone Taylor homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
3Jeremy Peña singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Yordan Alvarez scores.2–1
1Francisco Alvarez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Francisco Lindor scores.1–1
1Jose Altuve homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














