Nationals at Mets
Last play · CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
WSH 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.9% · hold 6.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Mets favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Harrison Bader scores. Francisco Lindor scores. (inning 2) — +21% Mets
9CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.5–7
9Keibert Ruiz homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Juan Yepez scores.4–7
8Jeff McNeil doubles (12) on a ground ball to right fielder Lane Thomas. Tyrone Taylor scores.2–7
8Ildemaro Vargas homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Luis García Jr. scores.2–6
6Francisco Lindor homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. Harrison Bader scores.0–6
2Brandon Nimmo homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Harrison Bader scores. Francisco Lindor scores.0–4
2Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Jeff McNeil scores. Harrison Bader to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














