Astros at Mets
HOU10–
NYM5Last play · Jeff McNeil grounds out sharply, second baseman Mauricio Dubón to first baseman Joey Loperfido.
Win probability
Mets0%
HOU 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 0 NYM
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mets favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo doubles (15) on a ground ball to right fielder Trey Cabbage. Francisco Lindor scores. (inning 10) — +43% Mets
11Trey Cabbage doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Jake Meyers scores. Joey Loperfido scores.10–5
11Joey Loperfido singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Yordan Alvarez scores. Yainer Diaz scores. Jake Meyers to 2nd.8–5
11Jake Meyers singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Alex Bregman scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd. Yainer Diaz to 2nd.6–5
10Brandon Nimmo doubles (15) on a ground ball to right fielder Trey Cabbage. Francisco Lindor scores.5–5
10Chas McCormick singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Mauricio Dubón scores.5–4
7Brandon Nimmo homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Luis Torrens scores.4–4
6Mark Vientos doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Brandon Nimmo scores. Pete Alonso scores.4–2
5Jose Altuve singles on a fly ball to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Mauricio Dubón scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.