Rockies at Mets
Last play · Ezequiel Tovar strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
COL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 7 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+235 / -290
Mets favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Toglia homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Brendan Rodgers scores. (inning 2) — -25% Rockies
8Brenton Doyle homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Ezequiel Tovar scores.6–7
8Charlie Blackmon homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.4–7
7Brendan Rodgers homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.3–7
5Jose Iglesias homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.2–7
4Harrison Bader homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Jeff McNeil scores.2–6
3Mark Vientos doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Sam Hilliard. Francisco Alvarez scores.2–4
2Harrison Bader homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
2Jose Iglesias homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














