Nationals at Mets
Last play · Jesse Winker strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
WSH 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 5 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Mets favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Luis Torrens scores. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Lindor scores. (inning 5) — +33% Mets
8Harrison Bader singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Pete Alonso scores. Mark Vientos to 2nd.0–7
8Mark Vientos singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. J.D. Martinez scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd.0–6
5Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. J.D. Martinez scores. Pete Alonso out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder James Wood to second baseman Luis García Jr.0–5
5J.D. Martinez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood. Brandon Nimmo scores. J.D. Martinez to 2nd.0–4
5Brandon Nimmo doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Luis Torrens scores. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Lindor scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














