Rockies at Mets
Last play · Michael Toglia strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
COL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Mets favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Torrens reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Brendan Rodgers. Pete Alonso scores. DJ Stewart scores. Ben Gamel to 3rd. Luis Torrens to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Brendan Rodgers. (inning 2) — +20% Mets
8Francisco Lindor homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. Ben Gamel scores. Luis Torrens scores.3–7
5Charlie Blackmon homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Sam Hilliard scores.3–4
3Jake Cave homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–4
2Jeff McNeil doubles (13) on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Ben Gamel scores. Luis Torrens scores.0–4
2Luis Torrens reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Brendan Rodgers. Pete Alonso scores. DJ Stewart scores. Ben Gamel to 3rd. Luis Torrens to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Brendan Rodgers.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














