Rockies at Mets
Last play · J.D. Martinez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets0%
COL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 3 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Mets favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Francisco Alvarez scores. (inning 4) — +27% Mets
8Brandon Nimmo grounds into a force out, second baseman Brendan Rodgers to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Tyrone Taylor scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd. Francisco Lindor out at 2nd. Brandon Nimmo to 1st.8–5
8Jeff McNeil doubles (14) on a line drive to right fielder Jake Cave. Jose Iglesias scores. Tyrone Taylor to 3rd.8–4
8Michael Toglia homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.8–3
7Ezequiel Tovar homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Charlie Blackmon scores.7–3
6Michael Toglia homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.5–3
6Brenton Doyle homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.4–3
5Michael Toglia homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.3–3
4Francisco Lindor walks. Jose Iglesias scores. Tyrone Taylor to 3rd. Jeff McNeil to 2nd.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














