Braves at Mets
Last play · Tyrone Taylor strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets0%
ATL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 4 – 0 NYM
Braves led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 46.9% · hold 6.5%
Run line
+9.5
Moneyline
reference-20000 / +3000
Mets favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Riley scores. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 4) — -34% Braves
8Pete Alonso homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Brandon Nimmo scores.9–2
8Ramón Laureano homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Travis d'Arnaud scores.9–0
7Austin Riley homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Adam Duvall scores.7–0
7Orlando Arcia homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.5–0
4Orlando Arcia walks. Travis d'Arnaud scores. Nacho Alvarez Jr. to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher David Peterson.4–0
4Matt Olson homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Riley scores. Marcell Ozuna scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














