Braves at Mets
Last play · Jeff McNeil singles on a fly ball to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Jose Iglesias scores. Pete Alonso to 2nd.
Win probability
Mets100%
ATL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 2 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Mets favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Lindor homers (22) on a line drive to center field. Tyrone Taylor scores. (inning 3) — +25% Mets
10Jeff McNeil singles on a fly ball to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Jose Iglesias scores. Pete Alonso to 2nd.2–3
6Travis d'Arnaud singles on a line drive to left fielder Jeff McNeil. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.2–2
3Francisco Lindor homers (22) on a line drive to center field. Tyrone Taylor scores.1–2
2Orlando Arcia singles on a line drive to right fielder DJ Stewart. Ramón Laureano scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














