Last play · Trevor Larnach flies out to right fielder Tyrone Taylor.
Win probability
Mets100%
MIN 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
MIN 1 – 6 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-110 / -110
Mets favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (22) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 4) — +20% Mets
9Ryan Jeffers homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.2–15
7Luis Torrens doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Tyrone Taylor scores. Jeff McNeil scores.1–15
7Jeff McNeil doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Pete Alonso scores. Tyrone Taylor to 3rd.1–13
7Pete Alonso doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Austin Martin. Ben Gamel scores.1–12
6Harrison Bader hit by pitch. Tyrone Taylor scores. Mark Vientos to 3rd. Luis Torrens to 2nd.1–11
6Jeff McNeil out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Max Kepler. Pete Alonso scores.1–10
6Mark Vientos walks. J.D. Martinez scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. Tyrone Taylor to 2nd.1–9
6J.D. Martinez grounds into a force out, second baseman Willi Castro to shortstop Brooks Lee. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo out at 2nd. J.D. Martinez to 1st.1–8
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
MIN2–
NYM15