Twins at Mets
Last play · Tyrone Taylor strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets0%
MIN 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 7 – 2 NYM
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Mets favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Jeff McNeil scores. (inning 2) — +25% Mets
9Francisco Alvarez grounds out, second baseman Austin Martin to first baseman Carlos Santana. Luis Torrens scores. Jose Iglesias to 3rd.8–3
8Ryan Jeffers grounds into a force out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to second baseman Jose Iglesias. Byron Buxton scores. Carlos Santana out at 2nd. Ryan Jeffers to 1st.8–2
5Carlos Santana doubles (21) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Matt Wallner scores.7–2
3Matt Wallner homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Royce Lewis scores.6–2
3Royce Lewis doubles (7) on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Max Kepler scores.4–2
3Max Kepler singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jeff McNeil. Trevor Larnach scores.3–2
3Trevor Larnach singles on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Austin Martin scores.2–2
2Mark Vientos homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Jeff McNeil scores.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
