Twins at Mets
Last play · Carlos Santana lines out sharply to center fielder Harrison Bader.
Win probability
Mets100%
MIN 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 2 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Mets favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 5) — +16% Mets
5Mark Vientos homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
4J.D. Martinez singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Brandon Nimmo scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
