Marlins at Mets
Last play · Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets0%
MIA 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 1 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Mets favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — +26% Mets
8Derek Hill singles on a line drive to left fielder Jeff McNeil. Jonah Bride scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd. Derek Hill to 2nd.3–2
7Kyle Stowers flies out to right fielder Tyrone Taylor.2–2
6Brandon Nimmo homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
5Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Jesse Winker scores. Jose Iglesias to 2nd.1–1
3Nick Fortes out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Otto Lopez scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
