Orioles at Mets
Last play · Tyrone Taylor called out on strikes.
Win probability
Mets0%
BAL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 7 – 1 NYM
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Mets favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Santander homers (37) on a fly ball to left center field. Gunnar Henderson scores. (inning 1) — -22% Orioles
9Gunnar Henderson singles on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Cedric Mullins scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd. Throwing error by left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Throwing error by pitcher Danny Young.9–5
8J.D. Martinez homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Mark Vientos scores. Brandon Nimmo scores.7–5
8Brandon Nimmo doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Francisco Lindor scores. Mark Vientos to 3rd.7–2
5Eloy Jiménez doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Gunnar Henderson scores.7–1
4James McCann homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Ramón Urías scores.6–1
4Ramón Urías singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Jose Quintana, deflected by catcher Francisco Alvarez. Colton Cowser scores.4–1
3Mark Vientos doubles (19) on a line drive to left fielder Austin Slater. Francisco Alvarez scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd.3–1
2James McCann out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Colton Cowser scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
