Astros at Yankees
HOU3–
NYY10Last play · Jake Meyers grounds out, shortstop Oswaldo Cabrera to first baseman Anthony Rizzo.
Win probability
Yankees100%
HOU 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 7 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Yankees favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Verdugo homers (5) on a line drive to right center field. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores. (inning 1) — +31% Yankees
9Trey Cabbage singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jahmai Jones. Jon Singleton scores. Victor Caratini scores.3–10
7Anthony Volpe grounds into a force out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to second baseman Jacob Amaya. Anthony Rizzo scores. Jose Trevino to 3rd. Jon Berti out at 2nd. Anthony Volpe to 1st.1–10
7Jon Berti singles on a line drive to right fielder Joey Loperfido, deflected by first baseman Jon Singleton. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Anthony Rizzo to 3rd. Jose Trevino to 2nd.1–9
6Aaron Judge singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Jon Berti scores.1–8
5Giancarlo Stanton homers (7) on a line drive to left center field.1–7
4Anthony Volpe homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Trevino scores.1–6
3Alex Verdugo singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge to 2nd.1–4
1Alex Verdugo homers (5) on a line drive to right center field. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.