Tigers at Yankees
Last play · Zach McKinstry strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
DET 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -175
Yankees favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Rizzo homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores. (inning 3) — +22% Yankees
4Colt Keith out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Matt Vierling scores.3–5
4Matt Vierling triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Wenceel Pérez scores.2–5
3Anthony Rizzo homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores.1–5
3Aaron Judge doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Anthony Volpe scores. Juan Soto to 3rd.1–2
1Giancarlo Stanton singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Aaron Judge scores. Alex Verdugo to 3rd.1–1
1Riley Greene homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








