Astros at Yankees
Last play · Yordan Alvarez flies out to center fielder Aaron Judge.
Win probability
Yankees100%
HOU 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Yankees favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Anthony Volpe scores. (inning 1) — +22% Yankees
9Jose Altuve singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Mauricio Dubón scores. Jake Meyers to 2nd.4–9
8Juan Soto singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Oswaldo Cabrera scores.3–9
8Jeremy Peña homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.3–8
7Jake Meyers triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Aaron Judge. Mauricio Dubón scores.2–8
6Aaron Judge doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Anthony Volpe scores.1–8
6Juan Soto grounds out, first baseman Jon Singleton to pitcher Shawn Dubin. Austin Wells scores. Oswaldo Cabrera to 3rd. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.1–6
3Giancarlo Stanton homers (8) on a line drive to left field.1–5
3Aaron Judge homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








