Astros at Yankees
Last play · Anthony Volpe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
HOU 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 2 NYY
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Yankees favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Volpe homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. (inning 3) — +23% Yankees
8Aaron Judge homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.4–3
5Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to center fielder Aaron Judge, deflected by shortstop Anthony Volpe. Yordan Alvarez scores.4–2
3Anthony Volpe homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores.3–2
1Jon Singleton homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Jeremy Peña scores.3–0
1Yordan Alvarez homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








