Mariners at Yankees
Last play · Alex Verdugo grounds out, second baseman Dylan Moore to first baseman Ty France.
Win probability
Yankees0%
SEA 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 3 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Yankees favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dominic Canzone out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Luke Raley scores. Mitch Haniger to 3rd. (inning 9) — -38% Mariners
9Ty France singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Mitch Haniger scores. Dylan Moore to 2nd.5–4
9Dominic Canzone out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Luke Raley scores. Mitch Haniger to 3rd.4–4
9Mitch Haniger singles on a line drive to center fielder Aaron Judge. Cal Raleigh scores. Luke Raley to 3rd.3–4
9Luke Raley singles on a ground ball to second baseman Gleyber Torres. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. Luke Raley to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Gleyber Torres.2–4
8Jon Berti singles on a ground ball to left fielder Luke Raley. Gleyber Torres scores.1–4
8Dominic Canzone homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
5Alex Verdugo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge to 3rd. Fielding error by center fielder Julio Rodríguez.0–3
1Alex Verdugo doubles (10) on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
