Mariners at Yankees
Last play · Luke Raley grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman Anthony Rizzo.
Win probability
Yankees100%
SEA 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Yankees favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Anthony Volpe scores. (inning 1) — +17% Yankees
8Alex Verdugo homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Aaron Judge scores.3–7
8Cal Raleigh homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. J.P. Crawford scores. Mitch Garver scores.3–5
6Juan Soto homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.0–5
3Juan Soto homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Anthony Volpe scores.0–4
1Aaron Judge homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Anthony Volpe scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
