Mariners at Yankees
Last play · Ty France grounds into a force out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to second baseman Gleyber Torres. Jorge Polanco out at 2nd.
Win probability
Yankees100%
SEA 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 2 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -155
Yankees favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Giancarlo Stanton homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — +15% Yankees
7Anthony Rizzo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Aaron Judge scores.0–5
7Alex Verdugo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Juan Soto scores.0–4
7Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Anthony Volpe scores.0–3
3Aaron Judge homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
2Giancarlo Stanton homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
