Twins at Yankees
Last play · Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
MIN 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 8 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -175
Yankees favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Giancarlo Stanton singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Juan Soto scores. (inning 1) — +9% Yankees
8Carlos Correa grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman Anthony Rizzo. Kyle Farmer scores.5–9
7Byron Buxton grounds out, third baseman DJ LeMahieu to first baseman Anthony Rizzo. Jose Miranda scores.4–9
7Royce Lewis homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.3–9
6Aaron Judge walks. Austin Wells scores. DJ LeMahieu to 3rd. Juan Soto to 2nd.2–9
6Carlos Correa out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Aaron Judge. Kyle Farmer scores. Manuel Margot to 3rd.2–8
6Carlos Santana homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.1–8
5Alex Verdugo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Willi Castro. Aaron Judge scores.0–8
5Aaron Judge triples (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Willi Castro. DJ LeMahieu scores. Anthony Volpe scores. Juan Soto scores.0–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














