Twins at Yankees
Last play · Max Kepler flies out to left fielder Alex Verdugo.
Win probability
Yankees100%
MIN 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 3 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Yankees favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge doubles (19) on a fly ball to right fielder Max Kepler. DJ LeMahieu scores. Anthony Volpe scores. (inning 3) — +17% Yankees
8Giancarlo Stanton homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Aaron Judge scores.1–5
7Royce Lewis homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–3
3Aaron Judge doubles (19) on a fly ball to right fielder Max Kepler. DJ LeMahieu scores. Anthony Volpe scores.0–3
2Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Gleyber Torres homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














