Twins at Yankees
Last play · Carlos Santana grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman Anthony Rizzo.
Win probability
Yankees100%
MIN 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 5 – 8 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Yankees favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trent Grisham homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Austin Wells scores. (inning 2) — +25% Yankees
5Trent Grisham out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Max Kepler. Austin Wells scores.5–8
5Carlos Santana singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Max Kepler scores. Jose Miranda to 2nd.5–7
5Max Kepler hits a ground-rule double (14) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Alex Kirilloff scores.4–7
5Carlos Correa out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Trevor Larnach scores. Alex Kirilloff to 3rd.3–7
4Giancarlo Stanton singles on a ground ball to second baseman Kyle Farmer, deflected by shortstop Carlos Correa. Aaron Judge scores.2–7
3Austin Wells out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Willi Castro. Giancarlo Stanton scores.2–5
3Gleyber Torres doubles (11) on a ground ball to right fielder Max Kepler. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores. Giancarlo Stanton to 3rd.2–4
3Christian Vázquez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














