Last play · Jose Trevino flies out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
Win probability
Yankees0%
BAL 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
BAL 11 – 5 NYY
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+140 / -170
Yankees favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cedric Mullins homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Jordan Westburg scores. (inning 2) — -18% Orioles
9Ryan Mountcastle singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Cedric Mullins scores. Ramón Urías to 3rd. Adley Rutschman to 2nd.17–5
8Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jahmai Jones. Adley Rutschman scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores.16–5
7Austin Hays homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Cedric Mullins scores.14–5
6Gunnar Henderson grounds into a force out, third baseman DJ LeMahieu to second baseman Oswaldo Cabrera. Austin Hays scores. Ramón Urías out at 2nd. Gunnar Henderson to 1st.12–5
5Aaron Judge singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Anthony Volpe scores.11–5
5Juan Soto grounds out, first baseman Ryan Mountcastle to pitcher Cole Irvin. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Anthony Volpe to 3rd.11–4
5Anthony Santander homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Adley Rutschman scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores.11–3
3Aaron Judge homers (27) on a line drive to right center field. Juan Soto scores.8–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
BAL17–
NYY5