Orioles at Yankees
Last play · Colton Cowser grounds out to first baseman DJ LeMahieu.
Win probability
Yankees100%
BAL 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Yankees favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Giancarlo Stanton singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Aaron Judge scores. Alex Verdugo to 2nd. (inning 3) — +12% Yankees
9Anthony Santander homers (18) on a line drive to right field. Gunnar Henderson scores.2–4
5DJ LeMahieu out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colton Cowser. Gleyber Torres scores.0–4
3Gleyber Torres out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. Alex Verdugo scores.0–3
3Giancarlo Stanton singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Aaron Judge scores. Alex Verdugo to 2nd.0–2
2Anthony Volpe singles on a line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Austin Wells scores. DJ LeMahieu to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














