Orioles at Yankees
Last play · Jahmai Jones called out on strikes.
Win probability
Yankees0%
BAL 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 4 – 1 NYY
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Yankees favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Giancarlo Stanton singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Anthony Volpe scores. (inning 9) — +42% Yankees
10Ben Rice out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. Gleyber Torres scores.7–6
10Ramón Urías doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jahmai Jones.7–5
10Cedric Mullins singles on a fly ball to center fielder Alex Verdugo. Anthony Santander scores. Cedric Mullins to 2nd.6–5
9Giancarlo Stanton singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Anthony Volpe scores.5–5
7Giancarlo Stanton homers (18) on a line drive to center field. Anthony Volpe scores. Juan Soto scores.5–4
7Ryan Mountcastle doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd. Ryan Mountcastle advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by right fielder Juan Soto.5–1
5Ryan O'Hearn doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Jorge Mateo scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd.4–1
5Ramón Urías homers (4) on a line drive to left center field. Cedric Mullins scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














