Braves at Yankees
Last play · Austin Riley flies out to right fielder Juan Soto.
Win probability
Yankees100%
ATL 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Yankees favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (28) on a fly ball to right center field. Juan Soto scores. (inning 1) — +22% Yankees
7Trent Grisham homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.3–8
7Travis d'Arnaud homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Marcell Ozuna scores.3–7
6Aaron Judge walks. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Anthony Volpe to 3rd. Juan Soto to 2nd.1–7
6Oswaldo Cabrera singles on a line drive to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Ben Rice scores. Austin Wells scores.1–6
4Gleyber Torres doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Forrest Wall. Giancarlo Stanton scores.1–4
3Aaron Judge grounds into a double play, shortstop Orlando Arcia to second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Anthony Volpe to 3rd. Juan Soto out at 2nd. Aaron Judge out at 1st.1–3
1Aaron Judge homers (28) on a fly ball to right center field. Juan Soto scores.1–2
1Marcell Ozuna homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














