Braves at Yankees
Last play · Gleyber Torres strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
ATL 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 0 NYY
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Yankees favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarred Kelenic homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 3) — -14% Braves
6Anthony Volpe doubles (14) on a fly ball to center fielder Jarred Kelenic. Trent Grisham scores.3–1
5Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Orlando Arcia scores.3–0
5Jarred Kelenic out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Ramón Laureano scores.2–0
3Jarred Kelenic homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














