Reds at Yankees
Last play · Ben Rice called out on strikes.
Win probability
Yankees0%
CIN 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 5 – 2 NYY
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Yankees favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Steer homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz scores. (inning 5) — -17% Reds
7Juan Soto homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Trent Grisham scores.8–4
7Jake Fraley triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer scores.8–2
5Ben Rice homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.5–2
5Austin Wells homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.5–1
5Spencer Steer homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.5–0
3Jonathan India homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
2Nick Martini homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














