Red Sox at Yankees
Last play · Romy Gonzalez grounds out, third baseman DJ LeMahieu to first baseman Ben Rice.
Win probability
Yankees100%
BOS 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 10 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -175
Yankees favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Verdugo homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Aaron Judge scores. (inning 3) — +25% Yankees
7Ben Rice homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. DJ LeMahieu scores.4–14
7DJ LeMahieu singles on a line drive to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Trent Grisham scores. Oswaldo Cabrera to 2nd.4–11
5Ben Rice homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Austin Wells scores. DJ LeMahieu scores.4–10
5DJ LeMahieu singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Trent Grisham scores. Austin Wells to 2nd.4–7
5Oswaldo Cabrera out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Anthony Volpe scores.4–6
5Austin Wells walks. Alex Verdugo scores. Anthony Volpe to 3rd. Trent Grisham to 2nd.4–5
5Anthony Volpe hits a ground-rule double (16) on a fly ball to center field. Aaron Judge scores. Alex Verdugo to 3rd.4–4
5Rafael Devers homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.4–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














