Red Sox at Yankees
Last play · Aaron Judge strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
BOS 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 0 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Yankees favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 7) — -19% Red Sox
9Rafael Devers homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
8Ceddanne Rafaela homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
7Rafael Devers homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














