Rays at Yankees
Last play · Austin Wells called out on strikes.
Win probability
Yankees0%
TB 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 0 NYY
Rays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (35) on a fly ball to left field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Juan Soto scores. (inning 7) — +17% Yankees
9Juan Soto doubles (18) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Ben Rice scores.6–4
9José Caballero homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.6–3
7Aaron Judge homers (35) on a fly ball to left field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Juan Soto scores.5–3
7Jose Siri homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. Ben Rortvedt scores.5–0
4José Caballero singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Josh Lowe scores.3–0
4Randy Arozarena homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Richie Palacios homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














