Rays at Yankees
Last play · José Caballero lines out to left fielder Alex Verdugo.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TB 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Volpe doubles (18) on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores. Austin Wells scores. (inning 3) — +22% Yankees
6Aaron Judge singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Juan Soto scores.1–6
6Brandon Lowe homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.1–5
4Juan Soto doubles (16) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Juan Soto scores. Fielding error by left fielder Randy Arozarena. Throwing error by second baseman Richie Palacios.0–5
3Anthony Volpe doubles (18) on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores. Austin Wells scores.0–4
3Alex Verdugo grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Isaac Paredes. Ben Rice scores. Juan Soto to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














