Rays at Yankees
Last play · Brandon Lowe grounds into a double play, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice. Randy Arozarena out at 2nd. Brandon Lowe out at 1st.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TB 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Wells homers (7) on a line drive to right field. (inning 2) — +15% Yankees
8Juan Soto homers (25) on a line drive to right field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Trent Grisham scores.1–9
7Juan Soto homers (24) on a fly ball to right field.1–6
5DJ LeMahieu homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–5
5Jose Siri homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
4Oswaldo Cabrera singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca, deflected by second baseman Brandon Lowe. Aaron Judge scores. Austin Wells scores.0–4
2Anthony Volpe homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
2Austin Wells homers (7) on a line drive to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














