Mets at Yankees
Last play · Anthony Volpe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
NYM 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 5 – 2 NYY
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Yankees favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field. J.D. Martinez scores. (inning 4) — -26% Mets
9Austin Wells singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jeff McNeil. Gleyber Torres scores. Ben Rice to 2nd.12–3
8Mark Vientos out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Ben Gamel scores.12–2
8Francisco Lindor homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field. Jose Iglesias scores. Tyrone Taylor scores.11–2
8Tyrone Taylor reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Oswaldo Cabrera. Jeff McNeil scores. Jose Iglesias to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Oswaldo Cabrera.8–2
8Mark Vientos homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.7–2
6Tyrone Taylor singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Alvarez to 2nd.6–2
5Francisco Lindor homers (20) on a fly ball to right field. Tyrone Taylor scores.5–2
4Pete Alonso homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field. J.D. Martinez scores.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














