Mets at Yankees
Last play · Ben Rice grounds out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Yankees0%
NYM 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 1 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeff McNeil homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Pete Alonso scores. (inning 6) — -29% Mets
6Alex Verdugo doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Anthony Volpe scores.3–2
6Jeff McNeil homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Pete Alonso scores.3–1
5Francisco Lindor hit by pitch. Jeff McNeil scores. Luis Torrens to 3rd. Tyrone Taylor to 2nd.1–1
2Gleyber Torres homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














