Blue Jays at Yankees
Last play · George Springer strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TOR 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 6 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
Yankees favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (41) on a fly ball to center field. Juan Soto scores. (inning 1) — +22% Yankees
8Austin Wells singles on a line drive to right fielder Addison Barger. Alex Verdugo scores. Aaron Judge to 2nd.3–8
7Anthony Volpe singles on a line drive to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Aaron Judge scores. Gleyber Torres to 2nd.3–7
6Alejandro Kirk singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.3–6
5Anthony Volpe homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Gleyber Torres scores.1–6
2Trent Grisham homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Ben Rice scores.1–4
1Aaron Judge homers (41) on a fly ball to center field. Juan Soto scores.1–2
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
