Rangers at Yankees
Last play · Leody Taveras grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman DJ LeMahieu.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TEX 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Yankees favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto homers (29) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 3) — +12% Yankees
9Adolis García singles on a fly ball to center fielder Aaron Judge. Wyatt Langford scores. Ezequiel Duran to 3rd.7–8
8Carson Kelly homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Leody Taveras scores.6–8
8Nathaniel Lowe homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.4–8
7Aaron Judge homers (42) on a fly ball to right center field.3–8
7Juan Soto homers (30) on a fly ball to right center field.3–7
7Marcus Semien reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Adolis García scores. Carson Kelly scores. Josh Smith to 3rd. Fielding error by third baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.3–6
6DJ LeMahieu out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Adolis García. Gleyber Torres scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd.1–6
6Corey Seager doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Josh Smith scores.1–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
