Rangers at Yankees
Last play · DJ LeMahieu grounds out, shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Yankees0%
TEX 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 1 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Yankees favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corey Seager homers (25) on a fly ball to right field. Leody Taveras scores. Carson Kelly scores. (inning 6) — -17% Rangers
8Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field.9–4
8Giancarlo Stanton homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Aaron Judge scores.9–3
7Carson Kelly singles on a fly ball to center fielder Aaron Judge. Leody Taveras scores.9–1
7Leody Taveras doubles (13) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Aaron Judge. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Adolis García scores.8–1
6Corey Seager homers (25) on a fly ball to right field. Leody Taveras scores. Carson Kelly scores.6–1
6Josh Smith out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Adolis García scores.3–1
6Carson Kelly walks. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Adolis García to 3rd. Leody Taveras to 2nd.2–1
4Adolis García singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Wyatt Langford scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
